McShay and Kiper's mock 2.0

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McShay: 2014 NFL Mock Draft 2.0

Todd McShay [ARCHIVE]

 

ESPN Insider | February 6, 2014

 

2014 NFL Draft

NFL DraftRd. 1: May 8

 

 

Rd. 2-3: May 9

Rd. 4-7: May 10

Radio City Music Hall

New York City

Draft order | Draft home

Mel Kiper's latest mock

Todd McShay's latest mock

Mel Kiper's Big Board

Todd McShay's Top 32

NFL draft player rankings

We're still three months away from the 2014 NFL draft, but there are plenty of intriguing draft questions already beginning to emerge. Who will go No. 1? How many quarterbacks will go in the first round? How will the Rams and Browns use their extra first-round picks?

 

We set out to answer those questions and plenty more with our second mock draft of the season, projecting all 32 first-round picks. Here's our latest prediction of how the draft could play out, based on team needs and how we currently rate the top prospects in the 2014 draft class.

 

As usual, draft-eligible nonseniors are denoted with an asterisk.

 

^ Indicates that Baltimore and Dallas will flip a coin to determine which team picks first.

 

1 Jadeveon Clowney* COLLEGE: South Carolina AGE: 20 HT: 6-5 WT: 258 POS: DE

Analysis: Passing up on a quarterback here, particularly in-state product Johnny Manziel of Texas A&M, might be a public relations nightmare, but that would pale in comparison to the nightmares the combination of Clowney and J.J. Watt would create for opposing offenses. Clowney's production dipped this season and his motor ran hot and cold as the season went on, but he is the most talented player in this class and possesses a rare blend of size, strength and athleticism, and Watt could help him develop his technique and discipline.

 

If the Texans do end up taking a QB, don't be surprised if it's UCF's Blake Bortles over Louisville's Teddy Bridgewater. For starters, while Manziel is more dynamic and Bridgewater is more polished, Bortles has the sturdiest frame, outstanding mental makeup, good accuracy -- both in the pocket and on the move -- and the proven ability to deliver in the clutch. Plus, Bill O'Brien was an assistant under Bortles' college coach, George O'Leary, at Georgia Tech, so that could provide O'Brien with the confidence to take Bortles if O'Leary gives him the full stamp of approval.

 

PLAYER CARD

2 Greg Robinson COLLEGE: Auburn AGE: 21 HT: 6-5 WT: 320 POS: OT

Analysis: The Rams could use a tackle, with Rodger Saffold and Chris Williams scheduled to become unrestricted free agents and Jake Long suffering a torn ACL and MCL toward the end of the 2013 season, and Robinson is the top one on our board (he's No. 2 overall behind Clowney). Robinson has the size and strength of a road-grading right tackle, but the athleticism, length and agility to develop into a star at left tackle. He was dominant at the point of attack for Auburn this season.

 

PLAYER CARD

 

3 Teddy Bridgewater* COLLEGE: Louisville AGE: 21 HT: 6-2 WT: 198 POS: QB

 

Analysis: This draft feels like the right time for the Jaguars to get their franchise quarterback, and in this scenario they'd have their pick of every QB on the board. Bridgewater continues to be the No. 1 quarterback in our rankings, because while there are some concerns about his long-term durability in the NFL due to his lean frame, he is the most naturally accurate passer in this class with great anticipation, toughness and command of the offense.

 

PLAYER CARD

4 Blake Bortles* COLLEGE: UCF AGE: 21 HT: 6-4 WT: 228 POS: QB

Analysis: The Browns need a quarterback, and Bortles has the physical tools and mental makeup to develop into a good NFL starter. He will not wow scouts with a big-time arm, and, like most young quarterbacks, he can become more consistent with his decision-making. However, Bortles does have enough arm strength to make all the NFL throws, and unlike many college QBs I study on tape, Bortles sees the entire field, stands strong in the pocket and shows the ability to go through NFL-type progressions. He also has the prototypical size, accuracy, pocket presence and mobility to make plays with his legs. One thing to keep in mind: New offensive coordinator Kyle Shanahan coached a narrow-framed mobile QB in Robert Griffin III in Washington who dealt with injury issues, so he might appreciate having a mobile QB with a bigger, sturdier frame.

 

PLAYER CARD

5 Johnny Manziel* COLLEGE: Texas A&M AGE: 21 HT: 6-0 WT: 200 POS: QB

Analysis: The Raiders have 18 unrestricted free agents and finally have some salary cap room to add some key pieces to their team, so we're likely to see a lot of turnover on this roster this offseason. They also need to find an upgrade at quarterback over Terrelle Pryor and Matt McGloin, which is why Manziel could be a fit here even though we have a late-first-round grade on him. The NFL evaluators who have concerns about Manziel focus on his on- and off-field decision-making and lack of size (not his height, but whether his small frame can hold up over 16-game seasons, given his style of play), but the ones who love him focus on his special improvisational skills, creativity and running ability. I also thought he showed improvement with his velocity, ball placement and patience within the pocket this season.

 

PLAYER CARD

6 Jake Matthews COLLEGE: Texas A&M AGE: 21 HT: 6-5 WT: 309 POS: OT

Analysis: Defensive end, offensive tackle and tight end are the Falcons' top needs in this draft, and Matthews is a guy who fills a need and is also a top-five talent in this class. He brings versatility, having played both right tackle and left tackle for the Aggies, and he has good bloodlines (Bruce Matthews is his dad), commitment to the game and an understanding of what it takes to succeed. This feels like a good, safe pick for a team that needs to better protect QB Matt Ryan in 2014 and beyond.

 

PLAYER CARD

7 Khalil Mack COLLEGE: Buffalo AGE: 22 HT: 6-2 WT: 245 POS: OLB

Analysis: Mack was very productive at Buffalo (he's the NCAA's all-time career leader in tackles for loss and forced fumbles), and he has the potential to develop into a versatile playmaker in the NFL. He'd be a "Sam" linebacker in the Bucs' scheme, but they'd be able to move him around because he is a highly disruptive run defender in addition to being very effective as a pass-rusher and able to hold up in zone and man-to-man coverage against tight ends.

 

PLAYER CARD

8 C.J. Mosley COLLEGE: Alabama AGE: 21 HT: 6-2 WT: 228 POS: OLB

Analysis: If there's anything that keeps Mosley out of the first half of the first round, my guess is it would be concerns about his durability (he's had significant shoulder, hip and elbow injuries in the past), but it's hard not to fall in love with his performance on tape. He was highly productive at Alabama, and set the tone for that defense with his motor and aggressive play. In addition to his outstanding cover skills, he's very disruptive when turned loose as a pass-rusher. He'd be a good fit in Minnesota as the Vikings' weakside linebacker.

 

PLAYER CARD

9 Sammy Watkins* COLLEGE: Clemson AGE: 20 HT: 6-0 WT: 205 POS: WR

Analysis: The Bills have more pressing needs than wide receiver, including offensive line (specifically guard and right tackle), tight end (if Scott Chandler is not re-signed) and safety (if Jairus Byrd is not re-signed), but pairing young and developing QB EJ Manuel with the top receiver in this year's class might be too tempting to pass up. Watkins is a physical receiver with a big-time second gear who is very competitive when the ball is in the air. Texas A&M's Mike Evans would also make a lot of sense, as his size would provide a good complement to the smaller, faster receivers on Buffalo's roster.

 

PLAYER CARD

10 Mike Evans* COLLEGE: Texas A&M AGE: 20 HT: 6-4 WT: 220 POS: WR

Analysis: Evans still has some developing to do as a route runner, and yes, he has some immaturity issues and a tendency to get overly emotional. But he is an absolute pit bull on the field, and there is no receiver in this draft who is more dangerous when the ball is in the air. Both the tape and the advanced metrics make the case that he is the most proven down-the-field pass-catcher in the 2014 class. The Lions need a difference-maker opposite Calvin Johnson, and Johnson's leadership and experience could be just what Evans needs to avoid early-career pitfalls.

 

PLAYER CARD

11 Anthony Barr COLLEGE: UCLA AGE: 21 HT: 6-4 WT: 244 POS: DE/OLB

Analysis: Even if Tennessee decides to move on from Jake Locker at QB, it's hard to imagine the team liking one enough to draft him at No. 11 in this scenario. Michigan OT Taylor Lewan and Alabama safety Ha Ha Clinton-Dix would also fill needs here, but I think Barr would be a fit for new defensive coordinator Ray Horton's hybrid scheme, given Barr's experience working on the line and standing up as a 3-4 outside linebacker. I've been a little underwhelmed by what I've seen from him on tape so far, which is why I have him sliding a bit, but I still have more to study and he's a naturally gifted player with a unique combination of athleticism and size. He should continue to improve, as a converted H-back who has had limited experience playing defense.

 

PLAYER CARD

12 Taylor Lewan COLLEGE: Michigan AGE: 22 HT: 6-7 WT: 314 POS: OT

Analysis: Lewan could develop into an upgrade at left tackle over Will Beatty, or he could fit in at right tackle, as some believe that Justin Pugh would be a better fit at guard even after his outstanding rookie season at RT. But regardless of where Lewan would play, the Giants need to upgrade their offensive line, and Lewan is the top O-lineman available in this scenario. Top cornerback prospect Justin Gilbert would also be an option, and adding a pass-catching weapon for Eli Manning like USC WR Marqise Lee or UNC TE Eric Ebron could likewise be tempting.

 

PLAYER CARD

13 Marqise Lee* COLLEGE: USC AGE: 22 HT: 6-0 WT: 195 POS: WR

Analysis: This would make for a terrific start to the Rams' 2014 draft class -- landing the top offensive lineman in the draft at No. 2 in Auburn's Greg Robinson, and then having one of the top two or three receiver prospects fall to them at No. 13. Lee dropped too many passes this season and his lean frame and durability will be a concern as well, but he has outstanding speed and is a big-play weapon both as a vertical route runner and after the catch (and his ball skills were not a problem when he had Matt Barkley throwing to him). The Rams can afford to wait until Day 2 to address their needs on defense (safety and linebacker).

 

PLAYER CARD

14 Timmy Jernigan COLLEGE: Florida State AGE: 20 HT: 6-2 WT: 298 POS: DT

Analysis: The Bears have a lot of uncertainty along their defensive line: defensive tackles Henry Melton and Nate Collins were both placed on the injured reserve last season and are free agents this offseason; DT Jay Ratliff and DE Corey Wootton are also scheduled to become free agents; and DT Stephen Paea's contract expires after the 2014 season. Enter Jernigan, who won't wow anybody with his physique at the combine and doesn't always look pretty out on the field, but is a stout, quick and powerful football player who would be a great fit in the Bears' one-gap scheme.

 

PLAYER CARD

15 Louis Nix III COLLEGE: Notre Dame AGE: 22 HT: 6-3 WT: 340 POS: DT

Analysis: Nix performed better in 2012 than he did in 2013, and he'll be coming off a knee injury, but you simply don't find many players with his enormous size who can move like he does. Nix has the potential to develop into the Steelers' next Casey Hampton and serve as the centerpiece of their 3-4 defensive scheme. He wouldn't be Pittsburgh's only option in this scenario, however; Alabama safety Ha Ha Clinton-Dix, Oklahoma State CB Justin Gilbert, Notre Dame OT Zack Martin and Alabama OT Cyrus Kouandjio would all be good fits. The Steelers might be able to get a bigger WR like Fresno State's Davante Adams or Florida State's Kelvin Benjamin on Day 2.

 

PLAYER CARD

16 Eric Ebron* COLLEGE: UNC AGE: 20 HT: 6-4 WT: 231 POS: TE

Analysis: The Ravens would probably jump on one of the top three WR prospects if one falls to them here at No. 16 (or No. 17, if they lose their coin flip with the Cowboys at the combine), and they could also consider a tackle like Notre Dame's Zack Martin or consider trading back and drafting a tackle a little later. But Ebron would be a good fit, with Dennis Pitta (coming off an injury) and Ed Dickson (who has been disappointing) both set to become free agents, along with veteran Dallas Clark, and he would provide a legit vertical threat down the middle of the field for Joe Flacco. Ebron is the top TE prospect in this class.

 

PLAYER CARD

17 Ha Ha Clinton-Dix* COLLEGE: Alabama AGE: 20 HT: 6-1 WT: 208 POS: S

Analysis: The Cowboys' biggest need area is their pass rush (they ranked last in the NFL in sacks per pass attempt), but it might be reaching at this point to draft a D-lineman like Missouri's Kony Ealy or Pitt's Aaron Donald. But safety is also a clear position of weakness -- particularly in coverage -- and the best one in this class is Clinton-Dix. He doesn't have elite man-to-man coverage skills but has good range in zone and is an aggressive, efficient run supporter. Safety is becoming a more important position in the NFL with the increased usage of spread formations, bigger wide receivers and athletic "F" tight ends.

 

PLAYER CARD

18 Brandin Cooks* COLLEGE: Oregon State AGE: 20 HT: 5-10 WT: 185 POS: WR

Analysis: Drafting any of the available receivers here is a reach with Watkins, Lee and Evans off the board, but we could see an early run on receivers in this draft, and despite his lack of ideal size, Cooks is a proven playmaker with great burst, good top-end speed and very strong route-running instincts. Davante Adams, Odell Beckham Jr. and Kelvin Benjamin are other WRs who could be drafted in this range, although I'm not as quite as high on Benjamin as some others after studying him on tape. Ebron would have been a good fit here, and Oklahoma State CB Justin Gilbert would have been a good value pick, but wide receiver is the Jets' top need.

 

PLAYER CARD

19 Zack Martin COLLEGE: Notre Dame AGE: 23 HT: 6-4 WT: 308 POS: OT

Analysis: The Dolphins' offensive line issues -- both on and off the field -- have been well-documented, and the end result was an offense that finished ranked 26th in the league in rushing and set a team record for sacks allowed (58). Martin is a plug-and-play starter at either tackle or guard. The knock on him is that he has short arms, which has some projecting him as a guard (where he'd be great), but we think he has a chance to develop into a good starter at tackle because he was an outstanding OT throughout his career at Notre Dame, stood out as the top talent at this year's Senior Bowl and has good feet, good technique and a nasty disposition on the field.

 

PLAYER CARD

20 Cyrus Kouandjio* COLLEGE: Alabama AGE: 20 HT: 6-5 WT: 310 POS: OT

Analysis: Arizona's offensive line played better in 2013, but the Cardinals need to find an upgrade over the physically limited Bradley Sowell at left tackle. Kouandjio is still a work in progress (he needs to improve his balance and hand placement) and would have benefited from another year at school, but he's supremely gifted at 6-5, 310 pounds with natural mobility. He likely would be projected to go higher were it not for his disappointing start and finish to the season.

 

PLAYER CARD

21 Justin Gilbert COLLEGE: Oklahoma State AGE: 22 HT: 6-0 WT: 200 POS: CB

Analysis: Cornerback is a need position for the Packers, but not as much of a need position as tight end, safety, D-line and linebacker. So this is more of a value pick than anything else. Gilbert is the top cornerback prospect in a class loaded with them, and he is an absolute ball hawk with good size and the ability to press or sit back in coverage. Other options: Clinton-Dix, if he fell here, or Louisville's Calvin Pryor would fit at safety, and Notre Dame's Stephon Tuitt and Minnesota's Ra'Shede Hageman would fit as 5-technique D-linemen. I think UNC TE Eric Ebron is the only offensive prospect the Packers would take over a defender.

 

PLAYER CARD

22 Darqueze Dennard COLLEGE: Michigan State AGE: 22 HT: 5-11 WT: 189 POS: CB

Analysis: Defense should be the Eagles' priority if the right player is available, in particular looking for an edge rusher and improving the athleticism and depth in the secondary. Dennard is a proven commodity with adequate size, good top-end speed and very good instincts and fluidity in coverage, and he was a legit shutdown corner against several opponents' top targets this season. Louisville's Pryor could also be worth a look here, and other cornerback options include Florida's Loucheiz Purifoy and Marcus Roberson, Florida State's Lamarcus Joyner, Ohio State's Bradley Roby and TCU's Jason Verrett.

 

PLAYER CARD

23 Odell Beckham, Jr.* COLLEGE: LSU AGE: 21 HT: 6-0 WT: 193 POS: WR

Analysis: The Chiefs are in need of more offensive weapons, and Beckham seems like a good fit in Kansas City. He played his best football in 2013, and in particular his ball skills and overall focus improved late in the season. He isn't as consistent as teammate Jarvis Landry, but he's more explosive, a playmaker who is a threat to stretch the field and even more dangerous after the catch and on punt returns. Notre Dame DL Stephon Tuitt would make a lot of sense here as well, as would Fresno State WR Davante Adams, but Florida State WR Kelvin Benjamin is too much of a risk-reward prospect for the Chiefs to select at No. 23.

 

PLAYER CARD

24 Lamarcus Joyner COLLEGE: Florida State AGE: 23 HT: 5-8 WT: 187 POS: CB

Analysis: Defensive end is one of Cincinnati's top needs, but the only available prospect worth drafting in this scenario is Notre Dame's Stephon Tuitt, who is a better fit as a 5-technique in a 3-4 defense. But cornerback is also among the team's top three needs, and Joyner is one of the best defensive playmakers in this class (plus, he fits the Bengals' M.O. of drafting big-name players from traditional powerhouse schools). Joyner lacks elite size but he is a quick, fast, instinctive defensive back who plays bigger than his size, and could play a Tyrann Mathieu role for this defense. If Cincy passes on a corner at No. 24, it could find a very good one in Round 2.

 

PLAYER CARD

25 Loucheiz Purifoy* COLLEGE: Florida AGE: 20 HT: 6-0 WT: 185 POS: CB

Analysis: The Chargers need to upgrade at cornerback and in the return game, and Purifoy could help in both areas. He is raw with his technique but has the potential to develop into a playmaker at corner because of his very good ball skills, and because he's one of the most naturally talented defensive backs in this draft. If the Chargers pass on Purifoy, they could go with a smaller but equally skilled and more polished cover corner in TCU's Jason Verrett. If they take a CB here, they could target a pass-rusher like Auburn's Dee Ford in Round 2 and a guard like Baylor's Cyril Richardson in Round 3.

 

PLAYER CARD

26 Davante Adams* COLLEGE: Fresno State AGE: 21 HT: 6-2 WT: 212 POS: WR

Analysis: In this scenario the Browns got their quarterback at No. 4 overall in UCF's Blake Bortles, and their other top needs are guard, running back, wide receiver and cornerback. TCU CB Jason Verrett would be a good value pick, but adding a reliable No. 2 WR to complement Josh Gordon wouldn't be a bad idea at all. Adams is a good-sized WR who had exceptional college production. While he can improve his route-running efficiency, he shows good burst out of his cuts to separate and effectively uses his bigger frame to shield defenders. I also have yet to see him drop a pass in five games I've studied on tape.

 

PLAYER CARD

27 Morgan Moses COLLEGE: Virginia AGE: 22 HT: 6-6 WT: 332 POS: OT

Analysis: Notre Dame D-lineman Stephon Tuitt would be tough to pass on this late, even though the team is thrilled with the play of Cameron Jordan and Akiem Hicks. But offensive tackle is one of the Saints' top needs (others include OLB, CB, WR, C, DE and potentially TE if they can't re-sign Jimmy Graham), and Moses has the size, natural athleticism and strength to develop into a good starter at left tackle. He'd be tough to pass up this late, and he looked much more comfortable at left tackle in 2013 than he did at right tackle previously. Look for the Saints to try to find a center later in the draft, possibly USC's Marcus Martin or UNC's Russell Bodine.

 

PLAYER CARD

28 Kelvin Benjamin* COLLEGE: Florida State AGE: 23 HT: 6-4 WT: 233 POS: WR

Analysis: Benjamin is a boom-or-bust WR prospect at this point. He needs to learn how to run better routes, and I've seen him drop too many passes when watching him on tape. But you simply can't coach size, body control and proven ability to come down with 50-50 balls. He had eight touchdown catches in Florida State's final four games, including the game-winning grab in the BCS title game. He is a big play waiting to happen, and would give Cam Newton a big-time weapon to target downfield, especially in "scramble drill" situations when the initial play breaks down.

 

PLAYER CARD

29 Stephon Tuitt* COLLEGE: Notre Dame AGE: 20 HT: 6-6 WT: 303 POS: DE

Analysis: Tuitt has the versatility and body type that the Patriots covet, and he'd allow them to be more flexible up front. He could wind up going significantly earlier if teams are comfortable with his self-motivation, as he is big and strong enough to two-gap and also has very good mobility for his size. He needs to learn how to use his hands better and play with more consistent leverage, but he has the physical tools to be very successful. New England's other needs include interior offensive line, tight end and cornerback (if Aqib Talib departs).

 

PLAYER CARD

30 Ra'Shede Hageman COLLEGE: Minnesota AGE: 23 HT: 6-5 WT: 307 POS: DT

Analysis: The Niners would like to add a receiver with the ability to take the top off of a defense, but there isn't one available here worthy of a first-round pick. But while the 49ers' defensive front seven is outstanding, now is a great time to bring in another young D-lineman to develop, with Justin Smith turning 35 in September. Hageman has some boom-or-bust qualities (he needs to improve his consistency and technique), but he showed improvement last season, is tall, well-proportioned and naturally strong, and not many guys his size move like he does. Landing with a defense like San Francisco's could be exactly what he needs.

 

PLAYER CARD

31 Jason Verrett COLLEGE: TCU AGE: 22 HT: 5-9 WT: 174 POS: CB

Analysis: The Broncos' top need is offensive tackle, but in this scenario, with six already off the board in the first 27 picks, there isn't one worth taking at No. 31. They'll also need to address wide receiver and tight end at some point this offseason with Eric Decker a free agent and Demaryius Thomas and Julius Thomas set to become FAs after next season. But the best player available at a position of need in this scenario is Verrett. He lacks size, but he's the quickest man-to-man cover corner in this class and plays really tough. He reminds me a bit of Antoine Winfield.

 

PLAYER CARD

32 Jace Amaro* COLLEGE: Texas Tech AGE: 21 HT: 6-5 WT: 255 POS: TE

Analysis: The Super Bowl champs

http://m.espn.go.com/nfl/story?storyId=10404790

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Kiper: 2014 NFL Mock Draft 2.0

Mel Kiper [ARCHIVE]

 

ESPN Insider | February 6, 2014

 

 

Super Bowl XLVIII was another good reminder that the draft is really only the beginning. Teams don't just fill needs with players they like; they draft players with developmental stories in mind. Seattle has been exceptional in this regard the past few years, and while it's my job to evaluate picks with my own player evaluations as the prism, I can certainly give credit when teams do an excellent job turning picks into players and good traits into system fits.

 

2014 NFL Draft

NFL DraftRd. 1: May 8

 

 

Rd. 2-3: May 9

Rd. 4-7: May 10

Radio City Music Hall

New York City

Draft order | Draft home

Mel Kiper's latest mock

Todd McShay's latest mock

Mel Kiper's Big Board

Todd McShay's Top 32

NFL draft player rankings

We'll hand out draft grades for how well teams added value, but never forget how much success is developed, not just drafted.

 

A couple of things to remember before my second mock draft:

 

Teams are starting to catch up on a number of players, but similar to my first one, I'd say I match needs to fits a little more here because "best player available" is still a work in progress for teams.

I feel good about most of my heights, weights and speed/strength reports, but there are always surprises at the combine.

Remember: I can't reflect trades. I will point out good spots for a move.

 

One final note: A few players I see as good bets for Round 1 who didn't fit in this mock: Ryan Shazier, Aaron Donald and Derek Carr. My inability to reflect possible trades factored in there.

 

* Denotes a junior or redshirt sophomore at the time of draft entry.

 

^ Indicates that Baltimore and Dallas will flip a coin to determine which team picks first.

 

 

1 Johnny Manziel * COLLEGE: Texas A&M AGE: 21 HT: 6-0 WT: 205 POS: QB

 

Analysis: My internal debate here was Mr. Football or Mr. Clowney. Thing is, I don't think that's too much different than the scenario going on with Houston right now -- just add a few players to the mix. In Manziel, you get a quarterback who in my opinion is ready to play NFL football and make plays, and is preparing with the goal of helping a team right away. In Jadeveon Clowney, you get the most talented player in the draft, a defensive force to pair somewhere along the line with J.J. Watt and create major problems for opposing offenses. Right now I'll stick with the early bet on Manziel, and the idea that coach Bill O'Brien becomes convinced this is his QB of the future.

 

PLAYER CARD

2 Greg Robinson * COLLEGE: Auburn AGE: 21 HT: 6-5 WT: 320 POS: OT

 

Analysis: The Rams need a tackle -- in fact, they need more than one. And while Robinson doesn't have the same level of experience as the next two tackles on the board, I think once the combine is over, the consensus will be that he's the player with the highest ceiling at the position. An absolute mauler in the run game, he has plenty of length and athleticism to also become dominant in protection. While the Rams could certainly deal this pick, I can't reflect that here.

 

PLAYER CARD

3 Jadeveon Clowney * COLLEGE: South Carolina AGE: 20 HT: 6-5 WT: 274 POS: DE

 

Analysis: The owner in Jacksonville has made it pretty clear that the search for a quarterback is on, and the draft is a place they'll be looking. While I think they'd be a good fit for Manziel, in this scenario he's not around, and they instead go with the top pass-rusher in the draft. Make no mistake, QB is a huge need, but the Jags have been looking to improve the pass rush for years. If they love one of the other QB possibilities, that could certainly be the pick, but if the board breaks this way, I think Clowney proves irresistible.

 

PLAYER CARD

4 Teddy Bridgewater * COLLEGE: Louisville AGE: 22 HT: 6-2 WT: 220 POS: QB

 

Analysis: I think it's fair to say that for the first time in a while, the Browns have the talent in place to really help a young quarterback succeed. The presence of Josh Gordon and Jordan Cameron and the results those two were able to put up last season with pretty mixed levels of QB play should give the Browns' front office a reasonable level of confidence that a good decision-maker with a high level of accuracy has a chance to succeed early. And while Bridgewater still has areas where he needs to show growth, particularly in proving he can drive the ball down the field with accuracy on a consistent level, I think he also has a lot of traits that translate to early success. He reads defenses well before and after the snap, moves extremely well within the pocket, and delivers the ball on time, allowing pass-catchers to make plays. If Manziel is available here, he could certainly be the pick, but Bridgewater is no consolation prize on my board.

 

PLAYER CARD

5 Sammy Watkins * COLLEGE: Clemson AGE: 20 HT: 6-1 WT: 205 POS: WR

 

Analysis: This is a pick that could go in a number of directions, and for a team with so many needs -- including what should be a priority to simply build greater roster depth -- that could also mean trading down to add picks. I think taking a QB is certainly in play here, but if the board breaks this way, the Raiders also could look to take the best wide receiver in the draft with Watkins, an electrifying talent who can make any QB look better with his blend of competitive pass-catching and exceptional running skills with the ball in his hands.

 

PLAYER CARD

6 Anthony Barr COLLEGE: UCLA AGE: 21 HT: 6-4 WT: 248 POS: OLB/DE

 

Analysis: There will be questions about the type of scheme Barr is best suited for, but we probably pay too much attention to that. In Atlanta, Barr could easily work in what we'd traditionally call a 4-3, standing up on the edge and using his exceptional quickness to create pressure, something the Falcons need to find. Last year, they looked to upgrade the secondary, but that group will be exposed if they can't find a more consistent rush. I also think Barr can add some muscle without losing that lightning first step.

 

PLAYER CARD

7 Khalil Mack COLLEGE: Buffalo AGE: 22 HT: 6-3 WT: 245 POS: OLB

 

Analysis: I'm sticking with this pick from the previous mock, as Mack gives the Bucs a much-needed edge rusher with three-down capabilities because of his great leverage against the run and ability to drop into space and both cover and tackle. I expect big things from Mack at the combine. He'll face questions on his competition level, but I'm confident he'll prove he's as good an athlete as almost any defensive player in the draft.

 

PLAYER CARD

8 Blake Bortles * COLLEGE: UCF AGE: 21 HT: 6-4 WT: 230 POS: QB

 

Analysis: The Vikings lack any sense of certainty at the QB position. While I think Bortles will have a bit of a learning curve because he needs to gain much greater consistency with his ball placement, he has tremendous physical upside, with a big frame that can really move, which will provide an added dimension to help the offense move the ball as the passing aspect steadily improves. Can Bortles start right away for a team that wants to take a step forward? i think that's a question for the process.

 

PLAYER CARD

9 Jake Matthews COLLEGE: Texas A&M AGE: 22 HT: 6-5 WT: 305 POS: OT

 

Analysis: The injuries to EJ Manuel last season would make you think pass-blocking has to be a priority, but where the Bills' offensive line was really bad was in creating any push in the run game. You don't just protect a young QB by creating a pretty pocket, it's also nice when he can hand the ball off with any reasonable sense of optimism. Matthews will help. I suspect he'd jump in right away at right tackle and succeed -- he can play left or right -- and his ability to finish as a run-blocker could pay early dividends.

 

PLAYER CARD

10 Justin Gilbert COLLEGE: Oklahoma St. AGE: 22 HT: 6-0 WT: 200 POS: CB

 

Analysis: Gilbert has some competition to be the first corner taken, but I expect him to put up some pretty impressive numbers at the combine. He should prove to be a pretty big draw in a league where big corners who can battle at the catch point but also have elite speed and quickness are coveted. Detroit should get some development at corner on the current roster, but also could face some turnover. They need to place a bet on another young corner or two.

 

PLAYER CARD

11 Taylor Lewan COLLEGE: Michigan AGE: 22 HT: 6-7 WT: 315 POS: OT

 

Analysis: This is another pick I'm sticking with, as the Titans have some decisions to make at tackle both this offseason and next with current personnel, and Lewan could come in and provide immediate help, as well as a bridge to life after Michael Roos at left tackle. Lewan plays with a solid base and is particularly good as a run-blocker, but has the combination of power, length and good feet to handle both speed and power rushers. Going back to his junior season, he handled Jadeveon Clowney pretty well.

 

PLAYER CARD

12 C.J. Mosley COLLEGE: Alabama AGE: 21 HT: 6-2 WT: 232 POS: LB

 

Analysis: I await the inevitable critique that the Giants never take linebackers in the first round, but I'll stick with this pick. (I know the people who authored that philosophy, so consider me unafraid to be wrong here.) I just think Mosley is as close to a plug-and-perform linebacker as you can have in this draft because of his range and special ability to cover. The guy would really help against the offenses the G-Men see in the NFC East. The Giants were helped by the presence of Jon Beason last season, but this unit is a major question mark going forward, and they could use an impact talent, not just a Band-Aid.

 

PLAYER CARD

13 Mike Evans * COLLEGE: Texas A&M AGE: 21 HT: 6-5 WT: 225 POS: WR

 

Analysis: We talk about receivers who are competitive at the catch point and can outmuscle defenders for the ball. Well, Evans isn't just good at the catch point; he makes the catch point out of reach for many defenders due to his long frame and basketball-borne air skills. He is a fluid runner, if not a quick-twitch athlete, but you don't draft Evans for his ability to separate from defenders. You draft him because it doesn't matter if he does. Just throw it high enough. Sam Bradford will love having that kind of option.

 

PLAYER CARD

14 Timmy Jernigan * COLLEGE: Florida St. AGE: 21 HT: 6-2 WT: 298 POS: DT

 

Analysis: Another pick I'm sticking with because of the hand-to-glove fit of talent and need. I'm a bigger fan of Jernigan in a 4-3 look, where he's using his power to go through a blocker and not trying to beat people off the snap and use quickness. He's not a blow-by rusher, but has the strength and quick feet to eat up a running play before it goes anywhere. The Bears were a mess on the inside of the D-line last season due to injuries.

 

PLAYER CARD

15 Louis Nix III COLLEGE: Notre Dame AGE: 22 HT: 6-3 WT: 345 POS: DT

 

Analysis: While I project Nix here because he's an obvious system fit working directly over the center or shading a little -- eating gaps and making everyone around him (particularly behind him) more effective -- he actually has decent quickness for such a mammoth human and could also work in a 4-3. To say Nix moves like a 300-pounder is a compliment, and Pittsburgh could use some help on the defensive line, particularly up the middle.

 

PLAYER CARD

16 Eric Ebron * COLLEGE: North Carolina AGE: 20 HT: 6-4 WT: 231 POS: TE

 

Analysis: I wouldn't compare Anquan Boldin to Ebron, but I will say this: Quarterbacks love to have guys they can throw to with the confidence that their guy can win a contested catch. You could say Boldin lacked the quickness to get open, but he was a trusted target because of the way he could use his size and strength to win a physical contest to catch a pass. Ebron is the kind of new-breed tight end who can be split out, line up in the slot, or take a hit from a strongside linebacker and get into a route where he becomes a constant matchup threat and a likely winner for contested passes. Joe Flacco will like having him around.

 

PLAYER CARD

17 Ha Ha Clinton-Dix * COLLEGE: Alabama AGE: 21 HT: 6-1 WT: 208 POS: S

 

Analysis: Defensive line could also be a pick here, as the team has some age concerns up front, but safety is a major area of need. The Cowboys could use a free safety with range, good instincts and experience who can come in and play right away. Clinton-Dix provides the added bonus of being able to help out closer to the line of scrimmage. While he's great in single high, you can bring him up and he won't shy away from contact.

 

PLAYER CARD

18 Marqise Lee * COLLEGE: USC AGE: 22 HT: 6-1 WT: 198 POS: WR

 

Analysis: Before the flood of junior wide receivers entered the draft class, I would have told you that Lee, with his experience and reputation for reliability catching the ball and explosiveness after the catch, would easily be among the top two or three wide receivers taken. But I think the Jets will be considering a wide range of options here at that position, and because of the depth of this class, they could also wait and take a receiver later. Still, I like the fit here -- a team in serious need of added production at that position gets a very good pass-catcher who can make big plays with the ball in his hands.

 

PLAYER CARD

19 Zack Martin COLLEGE: Notre Dame AGE: 23 HT: 6-4 WT: 308 POS: OT

 

Analysis: The Dolphins are in need of a versatile offensive lineman or two, and what Martin lacks in ceiling, he brings in ready-to-play value. He's got plenty of experience at left tackle, and acquitted himself well there against Senior Bowl competition. However, I think he has the smarts and experience to handle right tackle right away, and he could also be really good if moved inside. Did I mention the Dolphins need to add some talent on the offensive line?

 

PLAYER CARD

20 Cyrus Kouandjio * COLLEGE: Alabama AGE: 20 HT: 6-6 WT: 315 POS: OT

 

Analysis: He has the frame you'd describe if you were talking about ideal physical traits for a left tackle, but Kouandjio battled inconsistency last season, and was particularly susceptible to extremely quick pass-rushers who could drive upfield and turn the corner on him, getting under his reach. But let's be clear about something: Kouandjio could be a total steal at this point, a long and powerful tackle who won't be 21 until after the draft. The upside of an All-Pro is here.

 

PLAYER CARD

21 Calvin Pryor * COLLEGE: Louisville AGE: 21 HT: 6-2 WT: 208 POS: S

 

Analysis: People wonder how a prospect can have a lot of "momentum" after all of the games have been played and before the combine starts. What changed? Well, there's simply a lot of teams finally taking a closer look at prospects, and Pryor is a guy who flew under the radar earlier in the season, but closed out his career at Louisville extremely well, and teams are beginning to catch up now that it's evaluation season. Pryor is a downhill safety who will fly up to the line of scrimmage and make plays. While he's got work to do in coverage, he's instinctive and athletic enough to get better there. And he has momentum that could help him push past Clinton-Dix as the first safety taken.

 

PLAYER CARD

22 Odell Beckham Jr. * COLLEGE: LSU AGE: 21 HT: 6-0 WT: 193 POS: WR

 

Analysis: He could show off elite straight-line speed at the combine, but he's particularly explosive out of breaks, creating separation and making him dangerous with the ball in his hands. His speed also translates to the return game. Beckham could be a good fit in Philly not just because he's a good receiver for a team that could use help in that department, but because he's versatile, and can work in the slot or on the edge.

 

PLAYER CARD

23 Kelvin Benjamin * COLLEGE: Florida St. AGE: 22 HT: 6-4 WT: 232 POS: WR

 

Analysis: The Chiefs have Dwayne Bowe, and they like the development of former first-round pick A.J. Jenkins, but they also have a limited QB in Alex Smith, a player who needs receivers to be playmakers to make up for the fact that he's not exactly going to pick defenses apart. I thought Benjamin could use another year of seasoning at Florida State, but given his size, speed, catch radius and ability to beat defenders before the catch and run away from them after the catch, he could be a steal here. The Chiefs don't need him to be a hero in Week 1.

 

PLAYER CARD

24 Darqueze Dennard COLLEGE: Michigan St. AGE: 22 HT: 5-11 WT: 197 POS: CB

 

Analysis: This is a pick I'm staying with, as I like both the fit and the fact that the Bengals have few major needs, but corner is certainly one. To quote the previous mock, "there are some concerns going forward at a couple of spots, with both age (Adam Jones and Terence Newman are north of 30) and health (Leon Hall ended the season on injured reserve), so the Bengals don't just need depth, they could use a player capable of starting." Dennard can start, and he brings a physical style and an ability to press combined with great awareness and the ability to defend like he's in your jersey without simply grabbing.

 

PLAYER CARD

25 Marcus Roberson * COLLEGE: Florida AGE: 21 HT: 6-0 WT: 195 POS: CB

 

 

Analysis: The Chargers did a pretty good job of scheming their way around some holes at corner during the late-season run, but there's no question they could use another good cornerback (or two), particularly because I think that defensive line and pass rush could take another step forward next season. Roberson can get a little lackadaisical, but it can also look easy for him out there because he has good instincts and a sense of where routes are going. He has long arms and can get his hands on the ball. He simply needs to be more physical against the run and grab a little less in coverage.

 

PLAYER CARD

26 Davante Adams * COLLEGE: Fresno St. AGE: 21 HT: 6-2 WT: 214 POS: WR

 

Analysis: There's a decent chance the Browns will be working with an inexperienced quarterback taking the snaps in 2014, and while Josh Gordon and Jordan Cameron are enticing matchup threats, the Browns could really use a reliable third option, because beyond those two, drops and inconsistency were an issue. In Adams, you get a strong receiver who will make plays in traffic and beat defenders for the ball on contested throws. If the Browns go QB at No. 4, they could decide to add pass-catching help by the time they get to this slot. They'll have some good options, so fit will be key.

 

PLAYER CARD

27 Antonio Richardson * COLLEGE: Tennessee AGE: 21 HT: 6-6 WT: 327 POS: OT

 

Analysis: He showed more holes in his game on tape than some tackles ahead of him here, and perhaps a few behind him, but this is a bet that Richardson will show off at the combine and move up on some boards when teams realize his ceiling. This is a 6-6, nearly 330-pound athlete, with a powerful lower half and long arms. And while I don't know if I trust him to protect Drew Brees' blindside in Week 1, some technical work could turn him into a special player. Richardson's problem is that he's so physically gifted he can be a little over-aggressive and look to dominate a matchup when sometimes he just needs to absorb a pass-rusher with his blend of size, power and quick feet. The Saints aren't settled at left tackle and need to bring in a player with the upside to fill the role.

 

PLAYER CARD

28 Brandin Cooks * COLLEGE: Oregon St. AGE: 21 HT: 5-10 WT: 186 POS: WR

 

Analysis: I had Cooks going to Carolina in the first mock, and don't see (or hear) a reason to change at this point. The need at wide receiver is obvious, and you can help a young QB not just by providing a huge target who doesn't always need to get open to be effective but by bringing in a player who specializes in getting open all of the time. Cooks separates easily with change-of-direction explosiveness and he's a reliable hands-catcher.

 

PLAYER CARD

29 Jace Amaro * COLLEGE: Texas Tech AGE: 21 HT: 6-5 WT: 260 POS: TE

 

Analysis: No change here, but I'll put in a backup plan. I do wonder if Amaro will drop this far. He's a special player with his blend of size, speed and pass-catching ability and he could be gone before this spot. If that's the case, I think another good tight end option could be Troy Niklas of Notre Dame, who has many of the same pass-catching attributes as Amaro and Ebron but is actually more proven as a blocker. Call it Gronk insurance.

 

PLAYER CARD

30 Jarvis Landry * COLLEGE: LSU AGE: 21 HT: 6-1 WT: 195 POS: WR

 

Analysis: Knowing how Jim Harbaugh has raved about the pass-catching ability of Michael Crabtree, I think the coach will like what he sees of Landry when he rolls the tape. It's not Harbaugh's final call to make, but what they'd get in Landry is a really strong hands-catcher who is fluid in and out of his breaks and doesn't care about making catches in traffic. Landry is a competitor, and isn't afraid to throw a block. He's done a good job of building on the considerable base of talent he flashed coming out of high school.

 

PLAYER CARD

31 Bradley Roby * COLLEGE: Ohio St. AGE: 21 HT: 5-11 WT: 192 POS: CB

 

Analysis: It wasn't their undoing in the Super Bowl -- that would be Seattle's defense -- but the Broncos need to add talent and speed in particular to their defensive backfield. In terms of raw speed, you won't do much better than Roby in this draft, and he's physical despite being slightly less than ideally sized. Roby is a quick-twitch athlete with fluid hips, can press or play off and can recover on any separation to make plays on the ball. Denver needs help, even with Chris Harris coming back.

 

PLAYER CARD

32 Allen Robinson * COLLEGE: Penn St. AGE: 21 HT: 6-3 WT: 210 POS: WR

 

Analysis: The expectation is that Sidney Rice won't be back, and John Schneider and Co. also will have to decide what Golden Tate is worth, knowing they have a few other big checks to cut in the coming year-plus. So while guys like Jermaine Kearse have developed well here, I think adding size and starting potential at wide receiver is a pretty reasonable option. Robinson provides that, with an ability to make contested catches and a sneaky level of speed to win over the top or with the ball in his hands. Offensive line is obviously a possible play here, too. The Seahawks don't want to have to live on Russell Wilson's remarkable ability to escape forever.

 

http://m.espn.go.com/nfl/story?storyId=10399830

[Nas]

And the draft this year is not till May correct?

[gmenroc]

May 8th-10th is a long way off.

[Bigblue25]

Think about in weeks. Only 13. It's slow so I like looking at all these mocks.

[Treehugger]

A cover LB would be nice, if there isn't a ready-to-go OL available.

[Mr. P]

Besides qb, k, or p I won't be mad at drafting any position.

[gmenroc]

CB or O-Line for me in the first...throw in LB is Beason doesn't re-sign

[Treehugger]

CB or O-Line for me in the first...throw in LB is Beason doesn't re-sign

 

Yeah CB has me nervous.

[Allstarjim]

I think if Sammy Watkins or Mike Evans are available, then that is the pick. If they are both off the board, it's the highest ranked OT available. And I know that the Giants stick to their rankings/board, but that is where the value is at our spot in the draft, and it also is a position of need. Everyone talks about moving Pugh inside. I don't like it, but it could happen. But who knows what we'll have with Beatty at the start of next season, also.

 

It could get very interesting if one of the big 3 QBs fall to us at 12... Bortles, Bridgewater, or Manziel. That could mean a prime opportunity to trade down. Not may suitors behind us... but if a team like Arizona falls in love with a guy, it's a possibility, even if just a remote one. We could certainly use extra picks.

[Bigblue25]

My top five

1.Taylor Lewan

2.Eric Ebron

3.Zack Martin

4.Marquise Lee

5.Kony Ealy

 

I don't like Barr and Mack most likely won't be there. Not huge on Mosley either. I don't think a young corner does anything for us and rather go free agent route.

[boohyah]

As unglamorous as it may be I have no issue if we drafted o line or d line first round every year.

[Sephiroth]

Who's the player who wows everyone at the combine but "hasn't put it all together" as a college player?

 

That's who we'll draft.

[Mr. P]

Who's the player who wows everyone at the combine but "hasn't put it all together" as a college player?

 

That's who we'll draft.

 

If they are like Pugh, Amukamara, or Nicks then good.

[fishgutmartyr]

I don't pretend to know much about college football, but based on this writeup and what I know of what the Giants look for on the oline, I wouldn't be shocked if we drafted Zack Martin.

[BleedinBlue]

I don't pretend to know much about college football, but based on this writeup and what I know of what the Giants look for on the oline, I wouldn't be shocked if we drafted Zack Martin.

I would be happy with Martin. Ideally, the situation Jim brings up about a team drafting later who desperately would love one of the top QB's on the board that happens to still be on the board at 12, and subsequently swap 1sts and gives us their 2nd and another to move up. Then we could still get Martin.....maybe...and pickup an extra stud or two that we need.

 

Martin is listed like the 4th or 5th best OT because the news writers salivate over prototypical long-armed ideal physical specimens for OT. I believe at the end of next season, Martin will pan out as the best OT in the draft. Sportswriters spend more time looking at height/weight/4.40/etc., than heart and a football sense that can't be taught. We have a guy who is the perfect "looking" OT in Beatty and a guy who doesn't look like the perfect specimen in Pugh.

 

Regardless...I'm afraid to even get into speculation because once I get started, I become obsessed with the draft and since it won't even happen until mid-May, I need to stay away from the subject until late April or early May. I might implode if I start now.

[Gman329]

I don't follow college football but from what I've read, Martin was not seen as a first rounder until Senior Bowl practices and even then, some suggested he benefited by comparison to the rest of the lackluster group of OLs. Could we trade down and still get Martin?

[Bigblue25]

I think if Sammy Watkins or Mike Evans are available, then that is the pick. If they are both off the board, it's the highest ranked OT available. And I know that the Giants stick to their rankings/board, but that is where the value is at our spot in the draft, and it also is a position of need. Everyone talks about moving Pugh inside. I don't like it, but it could happen. But who knows what we'll have with Beatty at the start of next season, also.

 

It could get very interesting if one of the big 3 QBs fall to us at 12... Bortles, Bridgewater, or Manziel. That could mean a prime opportunity to trade down. Not may suitors behind us... but if a team like Arizona falls in love with a guy, it's a possibility, even if just a remote one. We could certainly use extra picks.

 

The question is why would someone try to go ahead of St Louis? Who won't be looking at QB.

[Allstarjim]

If we're talking about Arizona at 20 I think it's a possibility, but like I said, a remote one. But fair point, bigblue25.

 

I think far more likely is a guy like Lewan. A lot of talk about Martin, who I believe has a low bust potential. However, I believe that Martin is a good value at our pick in the 2nd, where I think he may still be available.

[Bigblue25]

If we're talking about Arizona at 20 I think it's a possibility, but like I said, a remote one. But fair point, bigblue25.

 

I think far more likely is a guy like Lewan. A lot of talk about Martin, who I believe has a low bust potential. However, I believe that Martin is a good value at our pick in the 2nd, where I think he may still be available.

I'd want Lewan or Matthews and if not rather wait for a Morgan Moses or Xavier Su'a Filo in round two if possible.

[JMFP]

Who's the player who wows everyone at the combine but "hasn't put it all together" as a college player?

 

That's who we'll draft.

 

Yup....athleticism trumps everything with Reese.....show him a guy who can do some backflips, and he'll blow his wad.

[JMFP]

I don't pretend to know much about college football, but based on this writeup and what I know of what the Giants look for on the oline, I wouldn't be shocked if we drafted Zack Martin.

 

 

Zack Martin is too nasty for Reese. Don't take a gun to a pillow fight, son.

[Bigblue25]

 

 

Zack Martin is too nasty for Reese. Don't take a gun to a pillow fight, son.

Martin does have power. I don't see the Pugh comparison, other then short arms

[BleedinBlue]

Martin does have power. I don't see the Pugh comparison, other then short arms

Pugh is a technician who keeps defenses off his QB. Martin is also a technician, but has a nasty streak who can make holes for RB's as well as protect the QB. Think Pugh with attitude. Martin had an awesome career at Notre Dame winning all kinds of accolades and awards while taking his team to the national title game this past season.

 

I almost guarantee that he will be the 4th or 5th OT taken off the board and will end up being the best of the draft class of OT's when next season is over. He won't get through the first round and probably will be taken within the first 20 picks if the Giants don't take him with 12.

[Bigblue25]

Pugh is a technician who keeps defenses off his QB. Martin is also a technician, but has a nasty streak who can make holes for RB's as well as protect the QB. Think Pugh with attitude. Martin had an awesome career at Notre Dame winning all kinds of accolades and awards while taking his team to the national title game this past season.

 

I almost guarantee that he will be the 4th or 5th OT taken off the board and will end up being the best of the draft class of OT's when next season is over. He won't get through the first round and probably will be taken within the first 20 picks if the Giants don't take him with 12.

Good assessment. I think he'd be a road grader at OG. Logan Mankins is a good comparison.