fishgutmartyr Posted November 10, 2011 Share Posted November 10, 2011 I don't know if any of you guys have noticed, but there have been precious few defenses on any team that have been able to stop anything... For the 49'ers, it's important to stop the run because you want Alex Smith to be the guy that has to beat you; but with a lot of other games, I'd rather see a team take 3-4-5 yards at a time by running rather than 10-20 yards passing. There's a higher likelihood of a long rushing drive like that stalling, and when they do decide to pass, the odds are in your favor for a sack or INT. If you have a fast-scoring offense, you can compensate for the loss in time of possession. Think about it: McCoy's success, for example, takes the ball out of the hands of Jackson, Avant, Maclin, and Celek. Of course, you can't let them run free and have to cover them, but they aren't catching 40+ yard passes on you, either. I'm ok with that. If you stop McCoy on second down, contain and pressure Vick, the turnovers come on 3rd down. Let him have as many 5 yard first downs as he'd like. Our big problem is we give away too many 10-20 yard runs. Meanwhile, if an offense is allowed to get pass-heavy, you can get flagged for roughing the passer, interference, even hitting a defenseless player; or maybe the guy even catches it. That's four opportunities to advance the ball somehow on every play; three of which don't even need a completion. The worst that can happen is a sack or an INT, but passing on a down other than 3rd decreases the chance of a sack, and therefore the INT rate lowers due to less pressure. The odds are in the offense's favor. Conversely, a run can be a small gain, a large gain, a loss, no gain, or a fumble. Four of those options are in the defense's favor: three of them are clearly so. Ideally, you want to stop everything; but if you can't, let them run enough where they aren't killing you with the pass. See SB XXV. That in no way should be construed as me saying this defense is playing very well at all, let alone claiming to be one of the best in the league. I just don't think the emphasis on stopping the run should be as great as some people think. Not at this point in NFL history, anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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